Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.2% vs Kadri 46.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
McCann leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 61.7%
Defensive zone
McCann 61.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
McCann
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
McCann
Kadri
Last 10: McCann 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
McCann
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
2
McCann
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
3
1
McCann
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (188)
45.7% (1,295)
+2.7%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
52.7% (146)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
34.8% (23)
-3.1%
On power play, Kadri has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
McCann shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
McCann
Kadri
Home
52.8% (125)
46.5% (725)
Away
36.1% (119)
46.0% (739)
By Period
McCann
Kadri
P1
37.7%
47.2%
P2
50.5%
44.9%
P3
45.2%
46.3%
OT
0.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | OT | 01:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |