Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Kadri 54.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 62.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Spezza
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spezza
Kadri
Last 5: Spezza 4-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
55.4% (704)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
50.0% (18)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.0% (8)
+10.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Kadri is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kadri
Home
58.2% (376)
53.1% (367)
Away
58.2% (431)
57.3% (363)
By Period
Spezza
Kadri
P1
63.3%
49.8%
P2
54.9%
53.7%
P3
57.4%
61.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |