Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Kadri 48.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 50.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 75.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 58.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Thornton
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Thornton
Kadri
Last 6: Thornton 1-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
4
Thornton
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
47.9% (1,051)
+1.9%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
50.0% (66)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.1% (17)
-0.4%
On power play, Thornton has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Thornton shoots left. Kadri is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (726).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kadri
Home
54.9% (355)
50.3% (576)
Away
47.1% (382)
45.5% (558)
By Period
Thornton
Kadri
P1
46.0%
49.9%
P2
52.5%
48.1%
P3
55.6%
46.2%
OT
33.3%
41.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |