Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 45.4% vs Kadri 46.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Kadri 65.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Larsson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larsson
Kadri
Last 5: Larsson 3-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (290)
47.2% (1,015)
-2.0%
Power Play
38.6% (44)
41.1% (112)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
17.6% (17)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Larsson shoots left. Kadri is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Larsson
Kadri
Home
45.1% (153)
45.4% (573)
Away
43.1% (188)
46.9% (571)
By Period
Larsson
Kadri
P1
45.3%
48.9%
P2
41.4%
45.2%
P3
44.0%
43.4%
OT
60.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
38.6%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |