Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.7% vs Kadri 46.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 65.5%
Defensive zone
Dowling 65.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Dowling
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dowling
Kadri
Last 6: Dowling 3-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Dowling
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowling
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (318)
45.7% (1,295)
+3.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
52.7% (146)
-32.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
34.8% (23)
+15.2%
On power play, Kadri has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dowling is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Dowling shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Dowling
Kadri
Home
49.0% (145)
46.5% (725)
Away
47.8% (182)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Dowling
Kadri
P1
48.1%
47.2%
P2
49.1%
44.9%
P3
47.8%
46.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |