Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Kadri 47.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 57.7%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 69.8%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 63.9%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Celebrini
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Celebrini
Kadri
Last 10: Celebrini 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Celebrini
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
0
Celebrini
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
1
Celebrini
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
47.4% (821)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
48.8% (86)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
38.5% (13)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Celebrini shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Kadri
Home
47.8% (523)
46.6% (487)
Away
49.8% (534)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Celebrini
Kadri
P1
47.8%
52.7%
P2
47.4%
50.2%
P3
51.1%
40.2%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |