Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Kadri
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kadri
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
48.9% (280)
-1.5%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
50.0% (6)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
47.2% (36)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Kadri shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Kadri
Bjugstad
Home
46.6% (487)
48.4% (190)
Away
48.3% (433)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Kadri
Bjugstad
P1
52.7%
41.7%
P2
50.2%
56.6%
P3
40.2%
48.7%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |