Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.2%). Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 81.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 79.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Kadri
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kadri
Bjugstad
Last 6: Kadri 2-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Kadri
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
50.7% (906)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
48.1% (108)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
44.4% (239)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Kadri
Bjugstad
Home
48.3% (621)
49.8% (643)
Away
49.6% (589)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Kadri
Bjugstad
P1
48.1%
49.4%
P2
48.9%
50.5%
P3
49.8%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |