Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 37 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 49-37 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 65.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Kadri
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
49
(86 meetings)
37
49
Kadri
Bonino
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
26
6
Kadri
Bonino
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
34
Kadri
Bonino
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
9
Kadri
Bonino
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
50.6% (8,315)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
54.1% (972)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
44.6% (1,693)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Kadri
Bonino
Home
49.1% (7,467)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Kadri
Bonino
P1
49.2%
50.6%
P2
48.8%
48.5%
P3
48.0%
51.1%
OT
49.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |