Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 48.2%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Bonino 48.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 70.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Kadri
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kadri
Bonino
Last 6: Kadri 3-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Kadri
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
48.1% (324)
-1.9%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
57.9% (38)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
44.3% (88)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Kadri
Bonino
Home
47.4% (641)
52.0% (244)
Away
47.6% (593)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Kadri
Bonino
P1
46.9%
48.0%
P2
49.5%
42.9%
P3
46.2%
53.9%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |