Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.5%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Kapanen 47.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.3%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 62.5%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 54.9%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Kadri
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Kadri
Kapanen
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
0
Kadri
Kapanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kadri
Kapanen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Kapanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
47.5% (514)
-0.1%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
55.0% (40)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
39.5% (38)
-1.0%
On power play, Kapanen has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Kadri shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kapanen
Home
46.6% (487)
47.9% (307)
Away
48.3% (433)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Kadri
Kapanen
P1
52.7%
42.7%
P2
50.2%
51.4%
P3
40.2%
48.4%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |