Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 57.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 58.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Kadri
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Kadri
Kapanen
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
0
Kadri
Kapanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kadri
Kapanen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Kapanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
47.2% (559)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
51.0% (51)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
39.5% (38)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kapanen
Home
49.1% (7,467)
47.1% (340)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Kadri
Kapanen
P1
49.2%
42.7%
P2
48.8%
50.2%
P3
48.0%
48.2%
OT
49.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |