Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 47.1%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Kurashev 48.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 71.9%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 59.2%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Kadri
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Kadri
Kurashev
Last 6: Kadri 6-0 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
0
Kadri
Kurashev
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
46.7% (184)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
50.0% (16)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
50.0% (6)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Kurashev has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Kurashev is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kurashev
Home
46.5% (725)
44.4% (63)
Away
46.0% (739)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Kadri
Kurashev
P1
47.2%
53.8%
P2
44.9%
38.7%
P3
46.3%
50.0%
OT
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |