Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Hintz 58.0% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 59.5%
Defensive zone
Kadri 57.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 60.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Kadri
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kadri
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Kadri
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
58.7% (530)
-11.3%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
59.4% (170)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
66.7% (27)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Kadri
Hintz
Home
46.6% (487)
60.2% (354)
Away
48.3% (433)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Kadri
Hintz
P1
52.7%
58.4%
P2
50.2%
59.8%
P3
40.2%
58.2%
OT
44.4%
81.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |