Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Hartman 44.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 56.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 57.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kadri
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kadri
Hartman
Last 5: Kadri 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
42.6% (495)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
38.5% (26)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
48.8% (43)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Kadri
Hartman
Home
47.4% (641)
43.4% (288)
Away
47.6% (593)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Kadri
Hartman
P1
46.9%
43.1%
P2
49.5%
43.4%
P3
46.2%
42.0%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |