Nazem Kadri vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 48.1%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 62.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Kadri 4-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
47.6% (231)
-0.2%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
83.3% (12)
-34.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
33.3% (21)
+5.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.6% (487)
51.2% (164)
Away
48.3% (433)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.7%
50.0%
P2
50.2%
46.2%
P3
40.2%
49.5%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 8, 2025 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |