Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.1%). Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Poehling 49.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 82.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 69.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Kadri
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kadri
Poehling
Last 5: Kadri 2-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Kadri
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
50.4% (752)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
37.0% (27)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
45.3% (159)
+10.3%
On power play, Kadri has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Kadri
Poehling
Home
48.3% (621)
51.2% (467)
Away
49.6% (589)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Kadri
Poehling
P1
48.1%
54.6%
P2
48.9%
46.7%
P3
49.8%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |