Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Gagner 52.4% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 58.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 65.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Kadri
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kadri
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
76.5% (17)
-28.8%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
28.6% (7)
+25.4%
On even strength, Gagner has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Kadri
Gagner
Home
48.3% (621)
75.0% (16)
Away
49.6% (589)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Kadri
Gagner
P1
48.1%
25.0%
P2
48.9%
64.3%
P3
49.8%
83.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |