Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Couturier 53.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 55.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Kadri
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kadri
Couturier
Last 7: Kadri 3-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
2
Kadri
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Kadri
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
53.8% (1,003)
-6.1%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
56.4% (202)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
42.7% (89)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Kadri
Couturier
Home
48.3% (621)
54.4% (680)
Away
49.6% (589)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Kadri
Couturier
P1
48.1%
56.3%
P2
48.9%
51.8%
P3
49.8%
52.2%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |