Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarvis on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 65.3%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 61.7%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 64.0%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Kadri
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kadri
Jarvis
Last 6: Kadri 2-4 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
3
Kadri
Jarvis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Kadri
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
42.0% (352)
+6.2%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
43.7% (119)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
38.2% (157)
+2.8%
On power play, Kadri has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Kadri
Jarvis
Home
49.1% (7,467)
43.8% (336)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Kadri
Jarvis
P1
49.2%
39.7%
P2
48.8%
39.5%
P3
48.0%
46.1%
OT
49.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |