Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarvis on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.5%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 82.7%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 57.2%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Kadri
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kadri
Jarvis
Last 6: Kadri 2-4 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
3
Kadri
Jarvis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Kadri
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
46.2% (171)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
51.9% (54)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
39.4% (127)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Kadri
Jarvis
Home
48.3% (621)
46.1% (204)
Away
49.6% (589)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Kadri
Jarvis
P1
48.1%
42.5%
P2
48.9%
42.9%
P3
49.8%
48.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |