Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kadri wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Pinto 50.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 84.3%
Defensive zone
Pinto 62.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 65.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Kadri
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Kadri
Pinto
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
5
Kadri
Pinto
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
5
Kadri
Pinto
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
50.2% (520)
-2.8%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
68.0% (25)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
49.4% (89)
-10.9%
On power play, Pinto has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Kadri shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Kadri
Pinto
Home
46.6% (487)
48.8% (301)
Away
48.3% (433)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Kadri
Pinto
P1
52.7%
51.2%
P2
50.2%
48.9%
P3
40.2%
53.3%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 04:32 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |