Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Pinto 51.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 70.7%
Neutral zone
Pinto 50.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Kadri
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kadri
Pinto
Last 8: Kadri 4-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Kadri
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Kadri
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
52.5% (825)
-6.3%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
40.0% (10)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
44.4% (27)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Kadri
Pinto
Home
47.4% (641)
52.8% (453)
Away
47.6% (593)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Kadri
Pinto
P1
46.9%
49.0%
P2
49.5%
53.5%
P3
46.2%
53.7%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |