Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.2% vs 44.1%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 45.1% vs Matthias 45.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 52.5%
Defensive zone
Matthias 53.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.0%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Kadri
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kadri
Matthias
Last 5: Kadri 2-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Matthias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
2
Kadri
Matthias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (524)
43.2% (310)
+1.6%
Power Play
37.8% (37)
57.1% (21)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
43.8% (16)
-18.8%
On power play, Matthias has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Kadri is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Kadri shoots left. Matthias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Kadri
Matthias
Home
42.9% (310)
40.7% (172)
Away
45.9% (255)
47.4% (175)
By Period
Kadri
Matthias
P1
41.0%
47.4%
P2
49.7%
46.0%
P3
43.2%
39.4%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.2%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |