Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Matthias 46.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.4%
Defensive zone
Matthias 51.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 59.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Kadri
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Kadri
Matthias
Last 9: Kadri 5-4 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
1
Kadri
Matthias
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
3
Kadri
Matthias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
46.4% (1,716)
+1.8%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
56.3% (103)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
41.7% (175)
-0.7%
On power play, Matthias has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Kadri
Matthias
Home
49.1% (7,467)
46.9% (933)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Kadri
Matthias
P1
49.2%
47.8%
P2
48.8%
49.4%
P3
48.0%
41.6%
OT
49.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |