Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Dowd 49.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 86.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.4%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Kindel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kindel
Dowd
Last 6: Kindel 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
0
Kindel
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kindel
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Kindel
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
51.7% (644)
-8.6%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
0.0% (2)
+55.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
41.6% (221)
+18.4%
On power play, Kindel has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kindel is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Kindel shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Kindel
Dowd
Home
46.1% (267)
48.6% (451)
Away
42.9% (273)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Kindel
Dowd
P1
41.5%
49.1%
P2
45.8%
47.3%
P3
42.6%
51.4%
OT
91.7%
30.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |