Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 51.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 51.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Howden
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Howden
Dowd
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
5
1
Howden
Dowd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Howden
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Howden
Dowd
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
52.4% (6,009)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
56.1% (164)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
44.1% (1,635)
-0.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Howden
Dowd
Home
48.4% (1,608)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Howden
Dowd
P1
49.5%
51.7%
P2
48.0%
50.4%
P3
49.9%
50.3%
OT
39.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Brett Howden |