Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.2% vs Dowd 48.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 63.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 57.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 63.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Staal
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Staal
Dowd
Last 8: Staal 1-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Staal
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Staal
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (958)
47.2% (608)
+1.7%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
53.1% (96)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
0.0% (3)
+47.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Staal is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Staal shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowd
Home
49.6% (550)
48.7% (384)
Away
48.7% (624)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Staal
Dowd
P1
48.9%
50.2%
P2
47.5%
47.5%
P3
51.6%
46.2%
OT
45.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2017 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |