Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Dowd 55.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 96.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 82.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Staal
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Staal
Dowd
Last 10: Staal 0-10 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Staal
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
6
Staal
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Staal
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
58.2% (617)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
71.4% (7)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
47.2% (144)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Staal shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowd
Home
51.7% (265)
58.4% (399)
Away
46.5% (282)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Staal
Dowd
P1
52.7%
59.0%
P2
48.3%
56.1%
P3
46.5%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2021 | OT | 02:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Eric Staal |