Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 83.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 60.2%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Larsson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Larsson
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Larsson
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Larsson
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Larsson
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
52.4% (6,009)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
56.1% (164)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.1% (1,635)
-0.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Larsson
Dowd
Home
51.2% (2,493)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Larsson
Dowd
P1
51.6%
51.7%
P2
49.7%
50.4%
P3
47.2%
50.3%
OT
52.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |