Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Parssinen wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Parssinen 48.0% vs Dowd 49.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Parssinen 85.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.9%
Neutral zone
Parssinen 57.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Parssinen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Parssinen
Dowd
Last 10: Parssinen 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parssinen
3
0
Parssinen
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
6
Parssinen
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Parssinen
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Parssinen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (187)
52.2% (835)
-5.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
60.0% (10)
-4.4%
On even strength, Dowd has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Parssinen is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Parssinen shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Parssinen
Dowd
Home
52.3% (88)
51.5% (619)
Away
42.6% (108)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Parssinen
Dowd
P1
43.3%
51.7%
P2
50.9%
51.6%
P3
47.3%
47.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Parssinen
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |