Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 51.1% vs Dowd 48.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 87.0%
Defensive zone
Cullen 65.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Cullen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cullen
Dowd
Last 5: Cullen 1-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Cullen
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (648)
47.2% (608)
+6.8%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
53.1% (96)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (187)
0.0% (3)
+40.6%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cullen is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Cullen shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Cullen
Dowd
Home
52.9% (416)
48.7% (384)
Away
49.7% (443)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Cullen
Dowd
P1
53.5%
50.2%
P2
51.3%
47.5%
P3
49.2%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |