Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Patrick 48.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 87.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.1%
Neutral zone
Patrick 70.5%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 87.8%
12.2%
87.8%
Dowd
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dowd
Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Dowd
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
47.4% (156)
+8.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
56.3% (16)
+0.8%
On even strength, Dowd has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Patrick is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Dowd
Patrick
Home
58.2% (462)
43.8% (96)
Away
49.3% (481)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Dowd
Patrick
P1
55.6%
44.4%
P2
50.5%
45.6%
P3
53.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |