Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.3%). Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Moore 48.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 83.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.2%
Neutral zone
Moore 55.8%
Result
Oliver Moore favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Dowd
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowd
Moore
Last 6: Dowd 2-4 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Dowd
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
2
3
Dowd
Moore
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
50.3% (187)
+1.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
33.3% (15)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
0.0% (3)
+41.6%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Moore is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Dowd
Moore
Home
48.6% (451)
52.3% (132)
Away
49.5% (416)
41.1% (73)
By Period
Dowd
Moore
P1
49.1%
44.3%
P2
47.3%
54.2%
P3
51.4%
46.5%
OT
30.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |