Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Bäck 48.7% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Bäck 70.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Dowd
Bäck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
51.2% (43)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
27.3% (11)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Bäck is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bäck
Home
48.6% (451)
71.4% (21)
Away
49.5% (416)
30.3% (33)
By Period
Dowd
Bäck
P1
49.1%
45.5%
P2
47.3%
56.5%
P3
51.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
46.3%