Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Berglund 48.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 93.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.3%
Neutral zone
Berglund 57.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Dowd
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Dowd
Berglund
Last 10: Dowd 3-7 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
4
Dowd
Berglund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Dowd
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
49.0% (4,697)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
51.3% (548)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
43.2% (461)
+0.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Home / Away
Dowd
Berglund
Home
51.9% (3,897)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Dowd
Berglund
P1
51.7%
49.3%
P2
50.4%
48.2%
P3
50.3%
49.0%
OT
45.9%
39.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |