Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.2% vs Danault 54.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 88.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 59.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 73.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Dowd
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowd
Danault
Last 6: Dowd 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Dowd
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (640)
56.5% (711)
-4.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
46.0% (50)
-46.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
51.7% (116)
-10.1%
On power play, Danault has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Dowd is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Dowd shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Dowd
Danault
Home
48.6% (451)
57.0% (379)
Away
49.8% (412)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Dowd
Danault
P1
48.9%
55.8%
P2
47.6%
55.3%
P3
51.6%
54.8%
OT
30.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
56.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |