Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Danault 51.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 90.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 58.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Dowd
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowd
Danault
Last 7: Dowd 4-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Dowd
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
52.6% (895)
-3.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
55.7% (97)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
45.5% (165)
-1.5%
On even strength, Danault has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Dowd
Danault
Home
46.3% (492)
54.0% (581)
Away
49.8% (532)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Dowd
Danault
P1
49.1%
53.7%
P2
48.2%
55.3%
P3
46.9%
46.5%
OT
71.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |