Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 74.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 67.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Dowd
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Dowd
Kesler
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
4
Dowd
Kesler
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Dowd
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
7
Dowd
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
56.4% (8,095)
-4.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kesler
Home
51.9% (3,897)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Dowd
Kesler
P1
51.7%
56.5%
P2
50.4%
55.9%
P3
50.3%
56.1%
OT
45.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |