Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.8% vs Blueger 45.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 74.1%
Defensive zone
Blueger 53.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Dowd
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowd
Blueger
Last 6: Dowd 4-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (379)
48.1% (653)
+2.6%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
29.6% (27)
+34.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (157)
38.1% (210)
+8.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Dowd shoots right. Blueger is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Dowd
Blueger
Home
53.7% (244)
45.5% (473)
Away
46.6% (307)
44.8% (417)
By Period
Dowd
Blueger
P1
53.6%
48.0%
P2
44.1%
44.9%
P3
51.9%
43.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |