Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Blueger 48.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blueger 56.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.8%
Neutral zone
Blueger 54.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Dowd
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowd
Blueger
Last 7: Dowd 4-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Dowd
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
50.2% (223)
+1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
62.5% (8)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
31.9% (47)
+9.7%
On power play, Blueger has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Blueger is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Dowd
Blueger
Home
48.6% (451)
50.0% (192)
Away
49.5% (416)
41.9% (86)
By Period
Dowd
Blueger
P1
49.1%
46.2%
P2
47.3%
51.5%
P3
51.4%
43.2%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |