Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dowd wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 55.5% vs Blueger 48.9% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 55.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 80.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Dowd
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dowd
Blueger
Last 7: Dowd 5-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Dowd
Blueger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (617)
52.9% (297)
+5.3%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
33.3% (3)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
38.1% (113)
+9.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Dowd shoots right. Blueger is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Dowd
Blueger
Home
58.4% (399)
53.2% (205)
Away
53.9% (369)
44.2% (208)
By Period
Dowd
Blueger
P1
59.0%
52.7%
P2
56.1%
48.6%
P3
54.6%
44.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |