Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.5% vs Teravainen 47.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 79.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.0%
Neutral zone
Teravainen 53.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Dowd
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dowd
Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
2
Dowd
Teravainen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Teravainen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (485)
46.2% (52)
+7.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
37.5% (24)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (186)
50.0% (10)
-10.2%
On power play, Teravainen has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Dowd is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Dowd shoots right. Teravainen is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Dowd
Teravainen
Home
48.5% (307)
51.0% (51)
Away
50.3% (366)
34.3% (35)
By Period
Dowd
Teravainen
P1
50.7%
28.6%
P2
49.1%
44.8%
P3
49.6%
55.6%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Teravainen
46.0%▲
41.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Jan 3, 2026 | OT | 04:06 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |