Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 62.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 62.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Dowd
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Dowd
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Dowd
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
2
Dowd
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
54.1% (355)
-2.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.8% (13)
-53.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
47.6% (143)
-6.0%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Dellandrea is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Dowd
Dellandrea
Home
48.6% (451)
54.3% (278)
Away
49.5% (416)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Dowd
Dellandrea
P1
49.1%
54.2%
P2
47.3%
50.6%
P3
51.4%
51.8%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |