Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dowd wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.8% vs Bozak 53.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 80.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Dowd
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Dowd
Bozak
Last 10: Dowd 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Dowd
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Dowd
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (343)
53.6% (977)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
52.2% (186)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
100.0% (6)
-52.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Dowd is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Dowd shoots right. Bozak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bozak
Home
43.0% (172)
55.4% (583)
Away
57.1% (224)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Dowd
Bozak
P1
47.4%
51.9%
P2
60.6%
51.1%
P3
44.7%
57.9%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | OT | 01:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |