Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 86.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Dowd
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Dowd
Bozak
Last 10: Dowd 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
7
Dowd
Bozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
7
Dowd
Bozak
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
53.7% (9,596)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bozak
Home
51.9% (3,897)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Dowd
Bozak
P1
51.7%
53.2%
P2
50.4%
52.8%
P3
50.3%
54.5%
OT
45.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | OT | 01:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |