Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Petan wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Petan 45.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Petan 76.9%
Defensive zone
Petan 69.7%
Neutral zone
Petan 74.7%
Result
Nic Petan favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Petan
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Petan
Johansen
Last 10: Petan 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Petan
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Petan
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Petan
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Petan
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (416)
53.1% (11,017)
-7.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
56.2% (2,163)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.5% (978)
-50.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Petan is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Petan shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Petan
Johansen
Home
42.3% (196)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
46.6% (247)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Petan
Johansen
P1
51.9%
53.2%
P2
45.0%
53.9%
P3
35.2%
52.8%
Final 5 min
39.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Nic Petan |