Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Petan wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Petan 45.7% vs Monahan 51.3% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Petan 71.9%
Defensive zone
Petan 76.7%
Neutral zone
Petan 73.0%
Result
Nic Petan favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Petan
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Petan
Monahan
Last 7: Petan 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Petan
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Petan
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Petan
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Petan
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (416)
51.1% (11,356)
-5.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
53.7% (2,580)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.0% (766)
-46.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Petan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Petan shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Petan
Monahan
Home
42.3% (196)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
46.6% (247)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Petan
Monahan
P1
51.9%
50.9%
P2
45.0%
51.7%
P3
35.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Nic Petan |