Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +22.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Petan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Petan 43.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (-22.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Petan 79.1%
Defensive zone
Petan 65.1%
Neutral zone
Petan 73.0%
Result
Nic Petan favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Petan
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Petan
Monahan
Last 6: Petan 1-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Petan
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Petan
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Petan
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Petan
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
31.6% (38)
51.5% (641)
-19.9%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
62.8% (129)
-37.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Petan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Petan shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Petan
Monahan
Home
25.0% (32)
53.9% (362)
Away
42.9% (14)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Petan
Monahan
P1
37.5%
48.0%
P2
33.3%
57.0%
P3
16.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
30.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |