Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Shore 50.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 66.6%
Defensive zone
Shore 51.5%
Neutral zone
Shore 55.6%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Ward
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ward
Shore
Last 5: Ward 3-2 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Shore
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Shore
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
0
1
Ward
Shore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
51.7% (635)
+1.1%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
41.2% (17)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
39.1% (69)
-5.8%
On power play, Ward has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Ward is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Ward shoots right. Shore is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Ward
Shore
Home
53.4% (251)
48.2% (332)
Away
43.4% (205)
51.9% (389)
By Period
Ward
Shore
P1
49.4%
49.1%
P2
46.9%
53.2%
P3
50.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |